I Raised His P(Doom) Live On Air — Liron on Milk Road AI

Milk Road AI, a daily AI investing show that’s described as “99% optimistic about AI,” invited me on to make the case for AI doom. We ride the Doom Train, and I share my investing thesis for a market in the middle of an intelligence explosion. Topics covered include: * Why my P(Doom) is 50%; * The “Icarus curve” — why AI will be the best thing that’s ever happened to the economy right up until it takes over; * Whether China would accept a pause deal; * If Anthropic has a shot at being the first $100 trillion company. Watch on YouTube: Timestamps 00:00:00 — Cold Open 00:02:06 — What Is Doom Debates? 00:03:10 — What’s Your P(Doom)?™ 00:06:30 — How AI Kills Everyone 00:09:13 — Intelligence Is Humanity’s Only Superpower 00:10:59 — Riding the Doom Train™: Why Not Keep Us as Pets? 00:13:55 — Embodied AI and Robotics 00:15:59 — Are We at AGI Already? 00:17:36 — Everyone’s Catching Up to Eliezer Yudkowsky 00:18:53 — The Icarus Curve 00:21:35 — Pausing AI and the China Question 00:25:54 — Why Nukes Aren’t a Success Story 00:30:09 — Going Long Until Doom 00:32:48 — Simulation Theory and the Intelligence Explosion 00:33:43 — Living with a 50% P(Doom) 00:39:14 — Where to Find Doom Debates Links This episode was originally posted on Milk Road AI — Milk Road AI podcast — https://milkroad.com/podcast/ Milk Road AI on Apple Podcasts — Milkroad Pro — https://milkroad.com/pro/ LG Doucet on X — https://x.com/LgDoucet If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies on Amazon —https://www.amazon.com/dp/0316595640 Doom Debates’ Mission is to raise mainstream awareness of imminent extinction from AGI and build the social infrastructure for high-quality debate. Support the mission by subscribing to my Substack at DoomDebates.com and to youtube.com/@DoomDebates, or to really take things to the next level: Donate 🙏 Get full access to Doom Debates at lironshapira.substack.com/subscribe